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科技有多可怕?!奔驰的竞争对手都是谷歌和亚马逊了

时间:2017-05-19 22:21来源: 作者: 点击:
科技有多可怕?!奔驰的竞争对手都是谷歌和亚马逊了,为什么要研究竞争对手会计,查看竞争对手店铺数据,产品竞争对手ppt,跑到竞争对手那里,亚马逊的主要竞争对手

  编者按:本文是奔驰母公司戴勒姆集团总经理的一个采访。在这个采访中,这位总经理坦言奔驰公司的竞争对手已经不再是其他的汽车公司,而是特斯拉,谷歌,苹果以及亚马逊这些高科技公司!不仅如此,这位总经理还预言了3D打印,人工智能等技术在未来10年将会改变大多数人的生活状态!

  In a recent interview the MD of Daimler Benz (Mercedes Benz) said their competitors are no longer other car companies but Tesla (obvious), Google, Apple, Amazon 'et al' are……

  在最近一次对戴姆勒公司(梅赛德斯·奔驰)MD的采访中,这位总经理坦言他们的竞争对手已经不再是其他汽车公司,而是特斯拉(显而易见)、谷歌、苹果,亚马逊......

  There have always been the 3 constants ... Death, Taxes and CHANGE!

  生活中总是有这么三个不变的恒量:死亡,纳税和改变!

  Software will disrupt most traditional industries in the next 5-10 years. Uber is just a software tool, they don't own any cars, and are now the biggest taxi company in the world ;Airbnb is now the biggest hotel company in the world, although they don't own any properties.

  大部分传统行业在未来5到10年会受到软件的冲击: 优步(Uber)只是一个软件工具,它没有汽车,却是现在世界上最大的出租车公司;Airbnb也只是一个软件工具,它没有房产,却是现在世界上最大的酒店公司。

  Artificial Intelligence(人工智能):

  Computers become exponentially better in understanding the world. This year, a computer beat the best Go player in the world, 10 years earlier than expected.

  计算机对这个世界的理解正以指数级的速度暴风成长。就在今年,计算机打败了世界上最好的围棋选手,比人们预期的要提早了10年。

  In the US, young lawyers already don't get jobs. Because of IBM Watson, you can get legal advice (so far for more or less basic stuff) within seconds, with 90% accuracy compared with 70% accuracy when done by humans.

  在美国,年轻的律师已无事可做。因为有了IBM的智能系统Watson,人们可以在几秒之内从中获得法律建议(目前多数为基本内容),而且与人类70%的正确率相比,Watson的正确率要高达90%。

  So if you study law, stop immediately. There will be 90% less lawyers in the future, only specialists will remain.

  所以如果您在学法律,赶紧停下来吧。未来律师的数量将会减少90%,只有法律专家才能生存下来。

  Watson already helps nurses diagnosing cancer, 4 times more accurate than human nurses. Facebook now has a pattern recognition software that can recognize faces better than humans. In 2030, computers will become more intelligent than humans.

  除此之外,Watson还能帮助护士诊断癌症,准确率是护士单独诊断时的4倍。脸书(Facebook)的模式识别软件“识人”比人类更胜一筹。等到了2030年,计算机会变得比人类更聪明。

  There is an app called "moodies" which can already tell in which mood you're in. By 2020 there will be apps that can tell by your facial expressions, if you are lying. Imagine a political debate where it's being displayed when they're telling the truth and when they're not.

  现在已经有一款叫“Moodies”的应用软件通过声音分辨人类的心情,等到2020年,还会有软件通过面部表情来分析你是否在撒谎。想象一下政客辩论,屏幕上显示着他们什么时候在讲真话,什么时候在编假话。

  Autonomous cars(自动驾驶):

  In 2018 the first self driving cars will appear for the public. Around 2020, the complete industry will start to be disrupted. You don't want to own a car anymore. You will call a car with your phone, it will show up at your location and drive you to your destination. You will not need to park it, you only pay for the driven distance and can be productive while driving. Our kids will never get a driver's licence and will never own a car.

  第一辆自动驾驶汽车将于2018年问世。到2020年左右,整个汽车工业将开始瓦解,你不必买车,只消用手机打通电话,自动驾驶汽车便会出现在你的眼前,然后把你载去目的地。你可以在车上做别的事情,也不用泊车,只需要付个车费。我们的孩子不用再考驾照,也永远不用买车。

  It will change the cities, because we will need 90-95% less cars for that. We can transform former parking spaces into parks. 1.2 million people die each year in car accidents worldwide. We now have one accident every 60,000 miles (100,000 km), with autonomous driving that will drop to one accident in 6 million miles (10 million km). That will save a million lives each year.

  整个城市会因此而改变。因为所需的汽车数量下降90%至95%,停车场完全可以被改造成一个个公园。目前,全世界每年死于交通事故的人数是120万,每6万英里(10万公里)就会出现一起交通事故,而有了自动驾驶汽车后,这个比率会下降为每6百万英里(1千万公里)一起交通事故,这意味着每年有1百万人幸免于难。

  Most car companies will probably become bankrupt. Traditional car companies try the evolutionary approach and just build a better car, while tech companies (Tesla, Apple, Google) will do the revolutionary approach and build a computer on wheels.

  大多数汽车公司或许会濒临破产。传统的汽车公司可以通过“进化”来制造出更好的车,而科技公司(特斯拉、苹果和谷歌)则通过”革命化”,为汽车轮胎安装计算机。

  Many engineers from Volkswagen and Audi; are completely terrified of Tesla.

  到那时,大众和奥迪的汽车工程师恐怕会完全臣服于被特斯拉支配的恐惧中。

  Insurance companies will have massive trouble because without accidents, the insurance will become 100x cheaper. Their car insurance business model will disappear.

  保险公司也会身陷囹圄,因为没了交通事故,保险费自然会便宜百倍,汽车保险也终将消失。

  Real estate will change. Because if you can work while you commute, people will move further away to live in a more beautiful neighborhood.

  房地产会因此得到改变,因为如果你可以在通勤的时候办公,那么你就可以搬去更远,环境也更好的社区。

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